A Computationally Lightweight Model For Ensemble Forecasting Of Environmental Hazards: General TAMSAT-ALERT V1.2.1
Copernicus Publications
Download
Abstract: The TAMSAT-ALERT v1.2.1 model enables ensemble-based forecasting for environmental hazards without embedded crop models. It supports probabilistic predictions for NDVI, rainfall, and SPI3 across semi-arid regions like Kenya. It allows real-time monitoring, skill scoring, and climate variability integration (e.g., ENSO). Applications include early warning system design and humanitarian agency deployment. Three case studies are presented?UK, Pakistan, and Africa?demonstrating model flexibility.
Author:
Emily Black, John Ellis, Ross I. Maidment
Theme/Sector:
Climate Information Services, Disaster Risk and Reduction, East Africa, Technology and Innovation
Year
2024