Analysis Of The Projected Climate Impacts On The Interlinkages Of Water Energy And Food Nexus Resources In Narok County Kenya And Vhembe District Municipality South Africa
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
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Abstract: This study analyzes climate change impacts on the WEF nexus in Narok County (Kenya) and Vhembe (South Africa) using downscaled CMIP5 model data. With projected temperature rise and rainfall decline, consequences include reduced agricultural yields, hydropower disruption, and water scarcity. Socio-economic surveys enhance quantitative modeling. Vulnerability assessments spotlight ASAL fragility, rainfed farming risks, and resource stress. The report proposes adaptive planning for transboundary resilience. Ensemble bias correction and index calibration methods (e.g. CDD, SDII) enrich the analysis, offering policy-ready insight for climate-integrated development across East and Southern Africa.