Fossil Fuel Threat Mapping: A Geospatial Analysis Of Fossil Fuels Across Kenya
Global Energy Monitor, Institute for Governance & Sustainable Development, Stockholm Environment Institute
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Abstract: This geospatial briefing visualizes fossil fuel exploration areas across Kenya and assesses risks posed to ecosystems, populations, and infrastructure. Over 57% of the country?s land is licensed for fossil fuel projects, overlapping with freshwater sources, Ramsar sites, forests, marine reserves, and agricultural zones. The analysis covers both active and planned projects including the Lokichar?Lamu oil pipeline and LNG terminals in Mombasa. It details threats to 11 million people living within 25 km of fossil infrastructure, while linking exploration zones to biodiversity hotspots and climate-sensitive livelihoods. Methodologies include satellite data mapping, GIS overlays with natural capital, and proximity analysis for social vulnerability. The report warns of escalating ecosystem pressures, aquifer contamination risks, and loss of indigenous lands. It argues for pausing fossil approvals and accelerating transition policies grounded in climate resilience. Visual dashboards and interactive maps form part of the advocacy toolkit for public scrutiny and policy reform.