Climate variability and climate change and their impacts on Kenya’s agricultural sector

International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI)

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Abstract: This document was produced as an output of the project ‘Climate change adaptation for smallholder agriculture in Kenya’ funded by The World Bank and executed by the International Food Policy Research Institute,the International Livestock Research Institute,the Kenyan Agricultural Research Institute and the University of Georgia. The objective of this report is to provide an assessment of the impact of climate change and variability on the agriculture sector and economy of Kenya as an initial task to devise adaptation strategies for smallholders in selected agro-ecological zones of the country. The following tasks were carried out: a review of the historic performance of the Kenyan agricultural sector under varying climate climate variability and climate change impact analyses with special reference to Kenya assessments of the impacts of climate change on crop yield,production,and livestock yield and numbers using crop and livestock simulation models assessment of the wider effects on the economy using IFPRI’s IMPACT model.